Stock Analysis

Earnings Tell The Story For Rheinmetall AG (ETR:RHM) As Its Stock Soars 29%

XTRA:RHM
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Despite an already strong run, Rheinmetall AG (ETR:RHM) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 68%.

Since its price has surged higher, Rheinmetall's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 35.9x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Germany, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 15x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Rheinmetall certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Rheinmetall

pe-multiple-vs-industry
XTRA:RHM Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 25th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Rheinmetall.

How Is Rheinmetall's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Rheinmetall would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 29% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 88% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 39% per year during the coming three years according to the twelve analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 13% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Rheinmetall's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Rheinmetall's P/E

The strong share price surge has got Rheinmetall's P/E rushing to great heights as well. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Rheinmetall maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Rheinmetall that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.