Stock Analysis

Nordex (ETR:NDX1) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

XTRA:NDX1
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Nordex SE (ETR:NDX1) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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What Is Nordex's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 Nordex had €383.6m of debt, an increase on €358.1m, over one year. However, it does have €676.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of €292.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:NDX1 Debt to Equity History February 10th 2023

How Healthy Is Nordex's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Nordex had liabilities of €3.30b due within a year, and liabilities of €360.0m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of €676.2m and €1.18b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €1.81b.

This deficit isn't so bad because Nordex is worth €3.03b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Nordex boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Nordex can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, Nordex saw its revenue hold pretty steady, and it did not report positive earnings before interest and tax. While that hardly impresses, its not too bad either.

So How Risky Is Nordex?

We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And in the last year Nordex had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. Indeed, in that time it burnt through €539m of cash and made a loss of €498m. But the saving grace is the €292.5m on the balance sheet. That means it could keep spending at its current rate for more than two years. Overall, we'd say the stock is a bit risky, and we're usually very cautious until we see positive free cash flow. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Nordex you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.