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- XTRA:HOT
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:HOT) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
When close to half the companies in Germany have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may consider HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:HOT) as an attractive investment with its 15.6x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been advantageous for HOCHTIEF as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for HOCHTIEF
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like HOCHTIEF's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 48% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 231% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 3.4% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 16% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that HOCHTIEF's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From HOCHTIEF's P/E?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of HOCHTIEF's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for HOCHTIEF (1 is a bit concerning!) that we have uncovered.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:HOT
Good value average dividend payer.
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