Stock Analysis

Is FRIWO (ETR:CEA) A Risky Investment?

XTRA:CEA
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies FRIWO AG (ETR:CEA) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for FRIWO

How Much Debt Does FRIWO Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that FRIWO had €32.8m in debt in December 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it also had €4.70m in cash, and so its net debt is €28.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:CEA Debt to Equity History June 13th 2024

How Healthy Is FRIWO's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that FRIWO had liabilities of €44.4m due within 12 months and liabilities of €17.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €4.70m in cash and €20.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €36.0m.

Since publicly traded FRIWO shares are worth a total of €188.2m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since FRIWO will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, FRIWO made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to €111m, which is a fall of 40%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

While FRIWO's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost €4.4m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of €11m. So we do think this stock is quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example FRIWO has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.