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OTP Bank Nyrt Valuation

Is OSZG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OSZG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OSZG (€7.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€16.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OSZG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OSZG?

Key metric: As OSZG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for OSZG. This is calculated by dividing OSZG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is OSZG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.4x
EarningsFt342.12b
Market CapFt2.88t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OSZG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OSZG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.3x
CBK Commerzbank
8.1x8.8%€17.2b
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.4x10.7%€462.9m
MBK Merkur PrivatBank KgaA
10.2x8.6%€109.7m
BBL Bangkok Bank
6.5x3.6%฿285.4b
OSZG OTP Bank Nyrt
8.4x25.2%€2.9t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OSZG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the peer average (12.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OSZG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
OSZG 8.4xIndustry Avg. 7.3xNo. of Companies46PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OSZG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OSZG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OSZG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.4x
Fair PE Ratio6.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OSZG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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