Resona Holdings Valuation

Is DW1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DW1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DW1 (€5.85) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€7.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DW1 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DW1?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DW1 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio1.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DW1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DW1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9x
CBK Commerzbank
8.2x7.6%€16.7b
CFG Citizens Financial Group
12.3x18.7%US$16.1b
RF Regions Financial
10.4x5.8%US$18.0b
601009 Bank of Nanjing
5.1x8.8%CN¥93.4b
DW1 Resona Holdings
15.2x9.5%€2.3t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DW1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x) compared to the peer average (9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DW1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DW1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DW1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DW1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.2x
Fair PE Ratio9.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DW1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DW1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€5.85
€5.88
+0.5%
15.5%€7.36€3.93n/a11
Apr ’25€5.70
€5.58
-2.1%
16.4%€7.31€3.90n/a11
Mar ’25€5.20
€5.33
+2.5%
12.7%€6.84€3.98n/a11
Feb ’25€5.05
€5.38
+6.5%
13.2%€6.92€3.90n/a11
Jan ’25€4.52
€5.46
+20.7%
13.2%€7.02€3.95n/a11
Dec ’24€4.80
€5.37
+11.9%
14.3%€6.82€3.84n/a10
Nov ’24€5.25
€5.44
+3.5%
14.3%€6.94€4.10n/a10
Oct ’24€5.20
€5.22
+0.4%
11.3%€6.26€4.11n/a10
Sep ’24€4.90
€4.92
+0.4%
10.8%€5.70€4.12n/a11
Aug ’24€4.64
€4.68
+0.8%
10.0%€5.75€4.15n/a11
Jul ’24€4.36
€4.60
+5.4%
9.2%€5.75€4.15n/a11
Jun ’24€4.28
€4.80
+12.1%
9.4%€5.60€4.20n/a11
May ’24€4.44
€4.95
+11.4%
8.8%€5.74€4.30n/a11
Apr ’24€4.37
€5.02
+14.9%
11.1%€5.89€3.86€5.7011
Mar ’24€5.05
€4.91
-2.8%
14.4%€5.79€3.44€5.2011
Feb ’24€4.98
€4.99
+0.2%
13.4%€5.73€3.53€5.0511
Jan ’24€5.08
€4.81
-5.3%
14.1%€5.74€3.54€4.5211
Dec ’23€4.48
€4.43
-0.9%
12.7%€5.27€3.51€4.8011
Nov ’23€3.77
€4.09
+8.6%
11.1%€5.05€3.42€5.2511
Oct ’23€3.67
€4.27
+16.3%
11.2%€5.28€3.57€5.2011
Sep ’23€3.62
€4.35
+20.1%
11.5%€5.43€3.67€4.9010
Aug ’23€3.77
€4.35
+15.3%
11.5%€5.43€3.67€4.6410
Jul ’23€3.54
€4.13
+16.8%
10.1%€4.86€3.45€4.3610
Jun ’23€3.46
€4.36
+26.1%
10.8%€5.06€3.59€4.2810
May ’23€4.05
€4.52
+11.8%
14.2%€5.97€3.61€4.4411
Apr ’23€3.84
€4.51
+17.3%
14.6%€6.09€3.64€4.3711

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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