Citizens Financial Group, Inc.

NYSE:CFG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$19.1b

Citizens Financial Group Valuation

Is CFG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CFG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CFG ($43.45) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($69.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CFG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CFG?

Key metric: As CFG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CFG. This is calculated by dividing CFG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CFG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.5x
EarningsUS$1.16b
Market CapUS$19.15b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CFG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CFG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.7x
RF Regions Financial
13.2x12.0%US$21.6b
HBAN Huntington Bancshares
15.6x11.1%US$23.7b
EWBC East West Bancorp
12x6.3%US$13.3b
FHN First Horizon
14x8.1%US$10.6b
CFG Citizens Financial Group
16.5x21.6%US$19.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CFG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x) compared to the peer average (13.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CFG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FRCB First Republic Bank
0.02xn/aUS$27.98m
BKGM BankGuam Holding
1xn/aUS$18.48m
SBNY Signature Bank
0.002xn/aUS$2.18m
BCBH.F Caribbean Investment Holdings
0.00001xn/aUS$132.00
No more companies available in this PE range
CFG 16.5xIndustry Avg. 12.4xNo. of Companies83PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CFG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x) compared to the US Banks industry average (12.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CFG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CFG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.5x
Fair PE Ratio19.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CFG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CFG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$43.45
US$50.95
+17.3%
10.0%US$59.00US$42.60n/a19
Dec ’25US$48.14
US$48.62
+1.0%
9.4%US$59.00US$42.60n/a18
Nov ’25US$41.82
US$46.67
+11.6%
4.1%US$50.00US$42.60n/a18
Oct ’25US$39.92
US$45.37
+13.6%
6.3%US$50.00US$40.00n/a18
Sep ’25US$43.05
US$44.72
+3.9%
7.6%US$50.00US$37.00n/a19
Aug ’25US$40.71
US$43.77
+7.5%
8.4%US$50.00US$37.00n/a19
Jul ’25US$35.83
US$39.37
+9.9%
6.2%US$45.00US$35.00n/a19
Jun ’25US$35.29
US$39.16
+11.0%
6.6%US$45.00US$35.00n/a19
May ’25US$34.70
US$39.10
+12.7%
6.1%US$43.00US$35.00n/a19
Apr ’25US$35.64
US$37.97
+6.5%
6.3%US$42.00US$34.50n/a19
Mar ’25US$31.63
US$37.28
+17.9%
6.9%US$42.00US$33.00n/a19
Feb ’25US$31.18
US$36.86
+18.2%
7.9%US$42.00US$31.00n/a19
Jan ’25US$33.14
US$33.39
+0.8%
14.3%US$42.00US$25.00n/a18
Dec ’24US$28.52
US$31.11
+9.1%
14.3%US$42.00US$25.00US$48.1418
Nov ’24US$23.17
US$31.74
+37.0%
15.1%US$42.00US$25.00US$41.8219
Oct ’24US$26.80
US$33.88
+26.4%
12.5%US$44.00US$27.00US$39.9220
Sep ’24US$28.63
US$34.45
+20.3%
11.5%US$44.00US$27.00US$43.0521
Aug ’24US$31.10
US$34.24
+10.1%
13.1%US$44.00US$27.00US$40.7121
Jul ’24US$26.08
US$34.24
+31.3%
15.4%US$44.00US$25.00US$35.8321
Jun ’24US$26.39
US$35.83
+35.8%
14.9%US$52.00US$28.00US$35.2920
May ’24US$28.82
US$36.65
+27.2%
14.0%US$52.00US$28.00US$34.7020
Apr ’24US$30.37
US$44.93
+47.9%
14.3%US$57.00US$29.00US$35.6420
Mar ’24US$41.61
US$47.58
+14.3%
9.3%US$57.00US$38.00US$31.6320
Feb ’24US$43.66
US$46.90
+7.4%
9.2%US$57.00US$38.00US$31.1820
Jan ’24US$39.37
US$46.45
+18.0%
9.2%US$55.00US$38.00US$33.1420
Dec ’23US$41.98
US$46.16
+10.0%
8.9%US$55.00US$38.00US$28.5219

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 02:30
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Citizens Financial Group, Inc. is covered by 36 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
David GeorgeBaird
Jason GoldbergBarclays