China CITIC Bank Corporation Limited

DB:D7C Stock Report

Market Cap: €44.7b

China CITIC Bank Valuation

Is D7C undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of D7C when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: D7C (€0.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: D7C is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for D7C?

Key metric: As D7C is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for D7C. This is calculated by dividing D7C's market cap by their current earnings.
What is D7C's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4x
EarningsCN¥62.62b
Market CapCN¥337.89b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does D7C's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for D7C vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.7x
CBK Commerzbank
8.7x8.9%€18.5b
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.5x12.2%€464.1m
MBK Merkur PrivatBank KgaA
9.9x10.7%€105.8m
ITUB4 Itaú Unibanco Holding
7.9x12.1%R$292.3b
D7C China CITIC Bank
4x6.4%€360.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: D7C is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4x) compared to the peer average (7.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does D7C's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
D7C 4.0xIndustry Avg. 7.7xNo. of Companies40PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: D7C is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is D7C's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

D7C PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4x
Fair PE Ratio13x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: D7C is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst D7C forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.60
€0.70
+16.8%
13.5%€0.90€0.54n/a12
Dec ’25€0.58
€0.69
+18.8%
13.6%€0.90€0.54n/a13
Nov ’25€0.52
€0.68
+32.1%
14.1%€0.89€0.53n/a13
Oct ’25€0.51
€0.63
+25.7%
10.4%€0.76€0.53n/a13
Sep ’25€0.47
€0.63
+36.2%
10.7%€0.76€0.53n/a13
Aug ’25€0.49
€0.65
+31.8%
11.2%€0.79€0.53n/a13
Jul ’25€0.57
€0.65
+13.6%
11.6%€0.80€0.52n/a13
Jun ’25€0.54
€0.62
+15.5%
12.4%€0.72€0.43n/a13
May ’25€0.53
€0.60
+14.0%
13.6%€0.68€0.43n/a13
Apr ’25€0.47
€0.59
+25.3%
13.3%€0.68€0.43n/a13
Mar ’25€0.47
€0.57
+20.7%
14.6%€0.68€0.43n/a12
Feb ’25€0.44
€0.56
+28.5%
15.6%€0.68€0.43n/a13
Jan ’25€0.36
€0.56
+56.4%
15.6%€0.67€0.42n/a14
Dec ’24€0.35
€0.57
+63.0%
14.9%€0.68€0.43€0.5814
Nov ’24€0.37
€0.57
+56.1%
14.9%€0.68€0.43€0.5214
Oct ’24€0.41
€0.59
+42.1%
14.7%€0.73€0.45€0.5115
Sep ’24€0.38
€0.58
+51.6%
14.4%€0.73€0.44€0.4716
Aug ’24€0.41
€0.56
+36.2%
12.8%€0.69€0.44€0.4916
Jul ’24€0.41
€0.56
+37.1%
11.5%€0.69€0.47€0.5715
Jun ’24€0.47
€0.57
+20.8%
13.7%€0.72€0.43€0.5415
May ’24€0.47
€0.53
+14.0%
17.9%€0.69€0.28€0.5315
Apr ’24€0.44
€0.53
+21.6%
18.3%€0.71€0.28€0.4716
Mar ’24€0.42
€0.53
+26.6%
20.7%€0.77€0.30€0.4716
Feb ’24€0.42
€0.52
+23.7%
20.7%€0.76€0.30€0.4416
Jan ’24€0.39
€0.50
+28.0%
21.7%€0.76€0.29€0.3617
Dec ’23€0.40
€0.49
+23.5%
21.3%€0.72€0.29€0.3517

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 06:12
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

China CITIC Bank Corporation Limited is covered by 68 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yu Hang AuABCI Securities Company Limited
Meizhi YanBarclays
Dorris ChenBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)