Bank of Communications Co., Ltd.

DB:C4C Stock Report

Market Cap: €57.7b

Bank of Communications Valuation

Is C4C undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of C4C when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: C4C (€0.66) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: C4C is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for C4C?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

C4C key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does C4C's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for C4C vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.6x
CBK Commerzbank
8x7.6%€16.3b
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.9x10.0%€554.8m
UBK UmweltBank
11.7xn/a€228.2m
USB U.S. Bancorp
13.8x12.1%US$64.1b
C4C Bank of Communications
4.5x5.1%€483.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: C4C is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.5x) compared to the peer average (9.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does C4C's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: C4C is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.5x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is C4C's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

C4C PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.5x
Fair PE Ratio8.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: C4C is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst C4C forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.66
€0.67
+2.1%
16.9%€0.85€0.41n/a18
Apr ’25€0.60
€0.66
+9.7%
16.2%€0.85€0.39n/a19
Mar ’25€0.60
€0.65
+8.5%
15.3%€0.79€0.42n/a19
Feb ’25€0.54
€0.65
+21.8%
15.5%€0.80€0.42n/a20
Jan ’25€0.54
€0.65
+20.9%
16.9%€0.83€0.42n/a20
Dec ’24€0.53
€0.66
+25.3%
16.1%€0.83€0.42n/a21
Nov ’24€0.55
€0.67
+21.5%
15.8%€0.83€0.44n/a21
Oct ’24€0.56
€0.67
+17.8%
14.6%€0.84€0.46n/a21
Sep ’24€0.52
€0.65
+25.4%
14.8%€0.82€0.44n/a22
Aug ’24€0.55
€0.63
+16.5%
14.4%€0.78€0.44n/a21
Jul ’24€0.60
€0.64
+6.0%
13.7%€0.78€0.44n/a20
Jun ’24€0.59
€0.66
+11.1%
14.6%€0.82€0.46n/a20
May ’24€0.58
€0.64
+9.9%
14.0%€0.82€0.41n/a19
Apr ’24€0.56
€0.64
+13.1%
14.7%€0.83€0.41€0.6018
Mar ’24€0.56
€0.64
+15.9%
14.0%€0.80€0.43€0.6018
Feb ’24€0.56
€0.64
+14.3%
13.9%€0.80€0.43€0.5418
Jan ’24€0.53
€0.61
+15.3%
16.6%€0.79€0.43€0.5418
Dec ’23€0.53
€0.62
+17.3%
16.9%€0.79€0.43€0.5319
Nov ’23€0.49
€0.64
+30.3%
17.1%€0.81€0.44€0.5518
Oct ’23€0.53
€0.67
+28.1%
15.4%€0.84€0.45€0.5618
Sep ’23€0.55
€0.70
+28.0%
11.9%€0.85€0.53€0.5219
Aug ’23€0.57
€0.71
+24.1%
12.7%€0.84€0.52€0.5519
Jul ’23€0.68
€0.71
+4.7%
11.6%€0.83€0.49€0.6018
Jun ’23€0.61
€0.70
+14.1%
11.8%€0.82€0.49€0.5918
May ’23€0.65
€0.69
+7.3%
12.8%€0.81€0.50€0.5817
Apr ’23€0.64
€0.66
+3.9%
12.0%€0.80€0.49€0.5617

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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