Bank of Montreal

TSX:BMO Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$102.1b

Bank of Montreal Valuation

Is BMO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BMO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BMO (CA$139.12) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$216.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BMO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BMO?

Key metric: As BMO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BMO. This is calculated by dividing BMO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BMO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.6x
EarningsCA$6.93b
Market CapCA$102.10b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BMO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BMO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.5x
BNS Bank of Nova Scotia
13.1x8.6%CA$95.3b
CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce
12.5x6.5%CA$85.4b
TD Toronto-Dominion Bank
16x14.5%CA$133.7b
NA National Bank of Canada
12.5x-1.0%CA$46.1b
BMO Bank of Montreal
14.6x8.1%CA$102.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BMO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the peer average (13.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BMO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Banks Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BMO 14.6xIndustry Avg. 12.5xNo. of Companies86PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BMO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the North American Banks industry average (12.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BMO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BMO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.6x
Fair PE Ratio14.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BMO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BMO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$139.12
CA$143.94
+3.5%
6.4%CA$160.24CA$126.00n/a13
Dec ’25CA$133.50
CA$135.54
+1.5%
7.6%CA$148.00CA$106.00n/a13
Nov ’25CA$126.65
CA$120.92
-4.5%
6.5%CA$134.00CA$106.00n/a14
Oct ’25CA$123.12
CA$119.71
-2.8%
5.7%CA$133.00CA$106.00n/a14
Sep ’25CA$112.71
CA$120.86
+7.2%
7.4%CA$141.93CA$106.00n/a15
Aug ’25CA$114.69
CA$129.33
+12.8%
7.8%CA$141.93CA$101.00n/a15
Jul ’25CA$114.83
CA$130.28
+13.5%
7.6%CA$141.93CA$101.00n/a14
Jun ’25CA$121.55
CA$130.86
+7.7%
7.4%CA$141.93CA$101.00n/a15
May ’25CA$123.34
CA$133.66
+8.4%
7.8%CA$145.00CA$101.00n/a15
Apr ’25CA$132.50
CA$133.66
+0.9%
7.8%CA$145.00CA$101.00n/a15
Mar ’25CA$123.07
CA$132.54
+7.7%
7.6%CA$141.00CA$101.00n/a13
Feb ’25CA$126.02
CA$133.17
+5.7%
7.8%CA$145.00CA$107.00n/a12
Jan ’25CA$131.11
CA$130.42
-0.5%
7.9%CA$145.00CA$107.00n/a12
Dec ’24CA$113.66
CA$125.27
+10.2%
9.7%CA$144.25CA$96.00CA$133.5012
Nov ’24CA$104.81
CA$128.10
+22.2%
10.0%CA$144.25CA$96.00CA$126.6512
Oct ’24CA$114.58
CA$128.94
+12.5%
9.7%CA$144.25CA$96.00CA$123.1212
Sep ’24CA$117.10
CA$128.95
+10.1%
9.2%CA$144.25CA$96.00CA$112.7114
Aug ’24CA$121.06
CA$131.25
+8.4%
8.7%CA$144.25CA$98.00CA$114.6915
Jul ’24CA$119.64
CA$130.65
+9.2%
9.0%CA$144.25CA$98.00CA$114.8315
Jun ’24CA$113.55
CA$131.72
+16.0%
10.3%CA$160.30CA$98.00CA$121.5515
May ’24CA$121.71
CA$141.92
+16.6%
9.9%CA$160.30CA$98.00CA$123.3415
Apr ’24CA$120.38
CA$141.92
+17.9%
9.9%CA$160.30CA$98.00CA$132.5015
Mar ’24CA$130.47
CA$143.76
+10.2%
10.0%CA$164.34CA$98.00CA$123.0715
Feb ’24CA$133.78
CA$142.66
+6.6%
11.0%CA$164.34CA$93.00CA$126.0215
Jan ’24CA$122.66
CA$142.69
+16.3%
11.5%CA$164.34CA$90.00CA$131.1115
Dec ’23CA$133.00
CA$144.36
+8.5%
10.2%CA$158.00CA$95.00CA$113.6614

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/30 22:55
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/30 00:00
Earnings2024/10/31
Annual Earnings2024/10/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Bank of Montreal is covered by 30 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Roberto de Aguiar AttuchBarclays
Brian MortonBarclays
John ReucasselBMO Capital Markets Equity Research