Stock Analysis

Deutsche Pfandbriefbank's (ETR:PBB) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

XTRA:PBB
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Deutsche Pfandbriefbank AG (ETR:PBB) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend on the 24th of May to €1.18. This makes the dividend yield 13%, which is above the industry average.

See our latest analysis for Deutsche Pfandbriefbank

Deutsche Pfandbriefbank Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. The last payment made up 75% of earnings, but cash flows were much higher. Since the dividend is just paying out cash to shareholders, we care more about the cash payout ratio from which we can see plenty is being left over for reinvestment in the business.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to fall by 26.3%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 132%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.

historic-dividend
XTRA:PBB Historic Dividend May 4th 2022

Deutsche Pfandbriefbank's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

It's comforting to see that Deutsche Pfandbriefbank has been paying a dividend for a number of years now, however it has been cut at least once in that time. This suggests that the dividend might not be the most reliable. The dividend has gone from €0.43 in 2016 to the most recent annual payment of €1.18. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 18% over that duration. Deutsche Pfandbriefbank has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. However, Deutsche Pfandbriefbank's EPS was effectively flat over the past five years, which could stop the company from paying more every year. Slow growth and a high payout ratio could mean that Deutsche Pfandbriefbank has maxed out the amount that it has been able to pay to shareholders. When the rate of return on reinvestment opportunities falls below a certain minimum level, companies often elect to pay a larger dividend instead. This is why many mature companies often have larger dividend yields.

In Summary

Overall, it's great to see the dividend being raised and that it is still in a sustainable range. The dividend has been at reasonable levels historically, but that hasn't translated into a consistent payment. This looks like it could be a good dividend stock going forward, but we would note that the payout ratio has been at higher levels in the past so it could happen again.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Just as an example, we've come across 3 warning signs for Deutsche Pfandbriefbank you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.