Mercedes-Benz Group AG

XTRA:MBG Stock Report

Market Cap: €47.0b

Mercedes-Benz Group Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 0/6

Mercedes-Benz Group's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -8.5%, while the Auto industry saw earnings declining at 15% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 0.9% per year. Mercedes-Benz Group's return on equity is 5.3%, and it has net margins of 3.7%.

Key information

-8.48%

Earnings growth rate

-6.74%

EPS growth rate

Auto Industry Growth11.90%
Revenue growth rate0.88%
Return on equity5.29%
Net Margin3.74%
Next Earnings Update28 Jul 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 17

MBG: Premium Franchise And Buybacks Will Support Repriced Risk Environment

Analysts have trimmed their average fair value estimate for Mercedes-Benz Group to about €61 from about €63, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that are in line with recent price target adjustments from UBS, Morgan Stanley, Citi and RBC Capital. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Some bullish analysts are comfortable with a fair value in the high €50s to around €60, pointing to updated models that support this range even after revisiting margin and growth assumptions.
Narrative Update May 02

MBG: Execution On China Charging Expansion Will Support Future Capital Returns

Analyst price targets for Mercedes-Benz Group have recently shifted within a relatively tight range, with cuts of €1 to €8 from several firms partly offset by a €2 increase from another bank, as analysts factor in updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Mercedes-Benz Group reflects a mix of caution and optimism, with several firms fine tuning their price targets as they reassess revenue potential, margin resilience, and the valuation that investors might be willing to pay on future earnings.
Narrative Update Apr 16

MBG: Chip Supply Risks And Cautious Sentiment Will Pressure Future Earnings

Analyst price targets for Mercedes-Benz Group have edged lower by a few euros, with recent cuts of €1 to €8 from UBS, Morgan Stanley, and RBC Capital partially offset by Citi's €2 increase. This reflects a more balanced but slightly cautious stance on the shares.
Narrative Update Apr 02

MBG: Chip Supply Uncertainty Will Sustain Pressure On Future Earnings Potential

Analyst price targets for Mercedes-Benz Group have seen a mixed reset recently, with some firms trimming estimates and others lifting them into a €56 to €74 range. This has contributed to a modest uptick in the implied fair value to about €46.90 as analysts factor in updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations.
Narrative Update Mar 18

MBG: Higher Execution Confidence And Capital Returns Will Support Future Upside

Narrative Update: Mercedes-Benz Group Analyst Price Targets The analyst price target for Mercedes-Benz Group has been revised upward by €9. Recent research points to slightly higher revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, alongside updated P/E expectations, as key drivers behind the change.
Narrative Update Mar 04

MBG: Execution And Margin Risks Will Pressure Future Earnings Potential

Analysts have made a modest trim to their price expectations for Mercedes-Benz Group, with the updated fair value edging down slightly in line with a small cut to one firm's target to €56, while others have lifted their targets to €70 and €74 as they factor in revised discount rates, lower revenue and margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Mercedes-Benz Group reflects a mixed set of views, with some firms adjusting price targets higher and at least one bearish analyst trimming expectations.
Narrative Update Feb 18

MBG: Premium Focus And Capital Returns Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their central fair value estimate for Mercedes-Benz Group to €75.00, reflecting slightly lower long term growth and margin assumptions, even as recent Street research has gradually raised published price targets into the €70 to €74 range on confidence in the company's balance sheet and capital return approach. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has leaned constructive on Mercedes-Benz Group, with several large houses refining their views around capital returns, premium positioning and balance sheet strength.
Narrative Update Feb 04

MBG: Chip Shortages And Policy Pressures Will Restrain Future Earnings Potential

Analysts have nudged their price targets for Mercedes-Benz Group higher, reflected in a fair value estimate moving from €45.96 to €46.41, citing a series of recent target raises and generally supportive views on the company's balance sheet and capital allocation. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Mercedes-Benz Group point to generally constructive views, with several large banks assigning price targets that sit well above the current fair value estimate of €46.41.
Narrative Update Jan 21

MBG: Chip Shortages Will Pressure Margins And Limit Upside Potential

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Mercedes-Benz Group from €40.00 to about €45.96, citing expectations of a more predictable backdrop for carmakers by 2026, relatively stable profit margin assumptions, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple in their updated models. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Mercedes-Benz Group points to a generally constructive stance on the stock, but with a clear split between more optimistic houses and those that remain cautious.
Narrative Update Jan 07

MBG: Premium Positioning And Balance Sheet Strength Will Confront Tariff And Supply Risks

Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for Mercedes-Benz reflects a small fair value change to about €62.80 from roughly €62.76, with analysts pointing to sector headwinds, the stock's valuation versus other European premium car makers, and support from the company's balance sheet and capital allocation approach as key factors behind recent target revisions from several firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Mercedes-Benz Group highlights a mix of optimism around valuation support and balance sheet strength, alongside more cautious views expressed through neutral and hold ratings.
Analysis Article Jan 05

Does Mercedes-Benz Group (ETR:MBG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Narrative Update Dec 23

MBG: Future Performance Will Reflect Premium Positioning Amid Tariff And Supply Chain Risks

Analysts have nudged their price targets for Mercedes-Benz Group higher, citing a modest uplift in fair value to about EUR 62.76 from roughly EUR 62.54. They highlight the company’s healthy balance sheet, shareholder-friendly capital allocation and perceived undervaluation in the premium auto segment despite broader industry headwinds.
Narrative Update Dec 09

MBG: Future Performance Will Reflect Balance Sheet Strength Amid Tariff And China Risks

Analysts have nudged their price target for Mercedes-Benz Group modestly higher, lifting fair value by about EUR 1 to roughly EUR 62.5. They cite a healthier balance sheet, shareholder friendly capital allocation and recent upward revisions to Street targets, despite lingering concerns around tariffs and China exposure. Analyst Commentary Street research on Mercedes-Benz Group has turned incrementally more constructive, with several firms lifting price targets while at least one voice has turned more cautious on near term macro and policy risks.
Analysis Article Dec 05

Mercedes-Benz Group AG's (ETR:MBG) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.3x Mercedes-Benz Group AG ( ETR:MBG ) may be sending bullish signals at...
Narrative Update Nov 25

MBG: Future Performance Will Reflect Balance Sheet Strength Amid Sector Uncertainty

The analyst price target for Mercedes-Benz Group has been raised slightly, increasing by approximately EUR 0.59 to EUR 61.55. Analysts cite the company's healthy balance sheet and resilient positioning amid sector challenges.
Narrative Update Nov 10

MBG: Fair Value Outlook Balances Trade Headwinds With Demand And Industry News

The analyst price target for Mercedes-Benz Group has increased modestly, rising from €60.08 to €60.96. Analysts cite improved revenue growth expectations and stable profit margins as factors supporting the updated valuation.
Narrative Update Sep 04

New EV Models And Digital Platforms Will Drive Electrification

As Mercedes-Benz Group’s future P/E and consensus revenue growth forecasts both remained virtually unchanged, analysts have maintained their fair value price target at €60.08. What's in the News Mercedes-Benz pension trust sold its entire stake in Nissan for $324.65M, following a planned share sale worth approximately $346M (Reuters).
Analysis Article Aug 26

At €54.60, Is It Time To Put Mercedes-Benz Group AG (ETR:MBG) On Your Watch List?

Let's talk about the popular Mercedes-Benz Group AG ( ETR:MBG ). The company's shares saw a decent share price growth...
Analysis Article Jul 20

Returns At Mercedes-Benz Group (ETR:MBG) Are On The Way Up

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
Analysis Article Jun 20

Is Mercedes-Benz Group (ETR:MBG) Using Too Much Debt?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...
User avatar
New Narrative Nov 07

Electrifying Product Expansion And Tactical Focus Drive Future Growth Prospects

The company's product expansion and operational efficiency efforts are set to boost revenues, margins, and overall earnings, with a focus on high-demand models.

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Mercedes-Benz Group makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

XTRA:MBG Revenue, expenses and earnings (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 26130,5924,8819,9755,440
31 Dec 25132,2145,14110,0835,659
30 Sep 25136,9746,25011,3115,712
30 Jun 25139,3556,81011,0955,718
31 Mar 25142,9458,91111,1295,719
31 Dec 24145,59410,20711,1675,580
30 Sep 24147,12010,84011,5565,981
30 Jun 24149,59312,74311,6095,840
31 Mar 24150,74713,29011,6726,015
31 Dec 23152,39014,26111,5736,230
30 Sep 23153,41715,12511,0036,111
30 Jun 23154,13215,41211,1096,095
31 Mar 23152,67514,95610,8595,908
31 Dec 22150,01714,50110,6635,602
30 Sep 22144,25412,89910,4965,385
30 Jun 22138,18510,83710,3245,211
31 Mar 22135,86910,76310,2145,246
31 Dec 21133,89310,66010,2525,385
30 Sep 21135,33711,49110,0995,196
30 Jun 21135,31011,3329,7725,089
31 Mar 21117,4376,9428,7074,491
31 Dec 20121,7783,6499,6594,697
30 Sep 20132,22133011,2305,401
30 Jun 20143,87134712,8135,921
31 Mar 20170,27037615,0566,604
31 Dec 19172,7452,37715,3706,586
30 Sep 19172,2284,04714,1296,511
30 Jun 19169,1694,01715,3966,522
31 Mar 19167,2757,07115,4946,573
31 Dec 18167,3627,24915,3796,581
30 Sep 18164,3658,81915,5286,536
30 Jun 18164,8999,27615,2556,408
31 Mar 18165,3579,99415,2736,202
31 Dec 17164,15410,27815,2345,938
30 Sep 17161,5429,29616,1335,965
30 Jun 17159,3949,74514,9175,616
31 Mar 17156,7969,73014,6125,465
31 Dec 16153,2618,52614,3855,255
30 Sep 16152,6888,18414,2665,109
30 Jun 16151,3677,97414,0904,943
31 Mar 16150,2787,81414,2764,869
31 Dec 15149,4678,42414,3874,757
30 Sep 15144,7887,71314,3904,700
30 Jun 15140,6348,06314,5664,695

Quality Earnings: MBG has a large one-off loss of €2.2B impacting its last 12 months of financial results to 31st March, 2026.

Growing Profit Margin: MBG's current net profit margins (3.7%) are lower than last year (6.2%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: MBG's earnings have declined by 8.5% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: MBG's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: MBG had negative earnings growth (-45.2%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Auto industry average (-35.3%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: MBG's Return on Equity (5.3%) is considered low.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


Discover strong past performing companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/20 10:34
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/20 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Mercedes-Benz Group AG is covered by 44 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Gerhard SchwarzBaader Helvea Equity Research
null nullBanco de Sabadell. S.A.
Eduardo González MartínBanco Santander