Stock Analysis

Mercedes-Benz Group AG's (ETR:MBG) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

XTRA:MBG
Source: Shutterstock

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5x Mercedes-Benz Group AG (ETR:MBG) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Germany have P/E ratios greater than 17x and even P/E's higher than 28x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Mercedes-Benz Group's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Mercedes-Benz Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
XTRA:MBG Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 27th 2025
Keen to find out how analysts think Mercedes-Benz Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Mercedes-Benz Group's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Mercedes-Benz Group would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 25%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year EPS growth is still a noteworthy 6.1% in total. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 5.0% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 16% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Mercedes-Benz Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Mercedes-Benz Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Mercedes-Benz Group (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you need to be mindful of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About XTRA:MBG

Mercedes-Benz Group

Operates as an automotive company in Germany and internationally.

Undervalued established dividend payer.

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