Mercedes-Benz Group AG

XTRA:MBG Stock Report

Market Cap: €56.2b

Mercedes-Benz Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Mercedes-Benz Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 4.7% and 0.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 7.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10% in 3 years.

Key information

4.7%

Earnings growth rate

7.7%

EPS growth rate

Auto earnings growth9.9%
Revenue growth rate0.8%
Future return on equity10.0%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated18 Mar 2025

Recent future growth updates

Analysts Are Updating Their Mercedes-Benz Group AG (ETR:MBG) Estimates After Its Full-Year Results

Mar 15
Analysts Are Updating Their Mercedes-Benz Group AG (ETR:MBG) Estimates After Its Full-Year Results

Recent updates

Analysts Are Updating Their Mercedes-Benz Group AG (ETR:MBG) Estimates After Its Full-Year Results

Mar 15
Analysts Are Updating Their Mercedes-Benz Group AG (ETR:MBG) Estimates After Its Full-Year Results

Mercedes-Benz Group (ETR:MBG) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To €4.30

Mar 12
Mercedes-Benz Group (ETR:MBG) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To €4.30

Is Mercedes-Benz Group (ETR:MBG) A Risky Investment?

Mar 11
Is Mercedes-Benz Group (ETR:MBG) A Risky Investment?

Mercedes-Benz Group (ETR:MBG) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To €4.30

Feb 23
Mercedes-Benz Group (ETR:MBG) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To €4.30

Is Mercedes-Benz Group AG (ETR:MBG) Potentially Undervalued?

Feb 11
Is Mercedes-Benz Group AG (ETR:MBG) Potentially Undervalued?

Mercedes-Benz Group AG's (ETR:MBG) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

Jan 27
Mercedes-Benz Group AG's (ETR:MBG) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

Mercedes-Benz Group (ETR:MBG) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

Dec 30
Mercedes-Benz Group (ETR:MBG) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

Mercedes-Benz Group (ETR:MBG) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Nov 14
Mercedes-Benz Group (ETR:MBG) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Mercedes-Benz Group AG's (ETR:MBG) CEO Will Probably Have Their Compensation Approved By Shareholders

May 01
Mercedes-Benz Group AG's (ETR:MBG) CEO Will Probably Have Their Compensation Approved By Shareholders

Mercedes-Benz Group (ETR:MBG) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At €5.30

Apr 26
Mercedes-Benz Group (ETR:MBG) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At €5.30

Mercedes-Benz Group (ETR:MBG) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

Apr 23
Mercedes-Benz Group (ETR:MBG) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

Mercedes-Benz Group AG (ETR:MBG) Shares Could Be 26% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Apr 08
Mercedes-Benz Group AG (ETR:MBG) Shares Could Be 26% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

XTRA:MBG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027149,98010,9847,73617,6009
12/31/2026145,5159,4296,19415,78016
12/31/2025143,2698,3205,98415,02819
12/31/2024145,59410,2079,07017,735N/A
9/30/2024147,94810,8407,48915,760N/A
6/30/2024150,07712,7436,29414,387N/A
3/31/2024151,57513,2907,55715,304N/A
12/31/2023152,39014,2616,25714,470N/A
9/30/2023153,41715,1256,49014,310N/A
6/30/2023154,13215,4128,83416,272N/A
3/31/2023152,67514,95610,35217,658N/A
12/31/2022150,01714,5019,99516,894N/A
9/30/2022144,25412,89910,73017,530N/A
6/30/2022138,18510,83713,84920,594N/A
3/31/2022135,86910,76315,71322,636N/A
12/31/2021133,89310,66017,22924,549N/A
9/30/2021135,33711,49117,68025,536N/A
6/30/2021135,31011,33217,81225,853N/A
3/31/2021117,4376,94217,55225,993N/A
12/31/2020121,7783,64913,77222,332N/A
9/30/2020132,2213309,57618,596N/A
6/30/2020143,8713474,25114,091N/A
3/31/2020170,270376-1,9498,486N/A
12/31/2019172,7452,377-2,9477,888N/A
9/30/2019172,2284,047-3,4997,733N/A
6/30/2019169,1694,017-9,8031,581N/A
3/31/2019167,2757,071-10,864150N/A
12/31/2018167,3627,249-10,358343N/A
9/30/2018164,3658,819N/A-6,297N/A
6/30/2018164,8999,276N/A-3,209N/A
3/31/2018165,3579,994N/A-2,879N/A
12/31/2017164,15410,278N/A-1,652N/A
9/30/2017161,5429,296N/A4,098N/A
6/30/2017159,3949,745N/A3,606N/A
3/31/2017156,7969,730N/A4,529N/A
12/31/2016153,2618,526N/A3,711N/A
9/30/2016152,6888,184N/A2,175N/A
6/30/2016151,3677,974N/A1,842N/A
3/31/2016150,2787,814N/A-432N/A
12/31/2015149,4678,424N/A222N/A
9/30/2015144,7887,713N/A-3,069N/A
6/30/2015140,6348,063N/A-1,913N/A
3/31/2015134,6517,898N/A-1,091N/A
12/31/2014129,8726,962N/A-1,274N/A
9/30/2014126,2127,502N/A3,395N/A
6/30/2014123,1896,603N/A3,356N/A
3/31/2014121,3377,333N/A4,544N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MBG's forecast earnings growth (4.7% per year) is above the savings rate (1.1%).

Earnings vs Market: MBG's earnings (4.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the German market (15.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MBG's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: MBG's revenue (0.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the German market (6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MBG's revenue (0.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MBG's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/03/23 14:38
End of Day Share Price 2025/03/21 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Mercedes-Benz Group AG is covered by 59 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Gerhard SchwarzBaader Helvea Equity Research
null nullBanco de Sabadell. S.A.
Eduardo González MartínBanco Santander