Knaus Tabbert AG's (ETR:KTA) 27% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors
Knaus Tabbert AG (ETR:KTA) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. But not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 22% in the last twelve months.
After such a large jump in price, Knaus Tabbert's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 33.9x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Germany, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 16x and even P/E's below 8x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Knaus Tabbert hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
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There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Knaus Tabbert's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 57% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 84% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 79% each year as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 12% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Knaus Tabbert is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Knaus Tabbert's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Knaus Tabbert maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Knaus Tabbert (at least 3 which are significant), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly and trade on P/E's below 20x.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:KTA
Undervalued slight.