While HELLA GmbH & Co. KGaA (ETR:HLE) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the XTRA. The company is now trading at yearly-high levels following the recent surge in its share price. As a well-established company, which tends to be well-covered by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at HELLA GmbH KGaA’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.
See our latest analysis for HELLA GmbH KGaA
Is HELLA GmbH KGaA Still Cheap?
According to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average, the stock currently looks expensive. In this instance, we’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. We find that HELLA GmbH KGaA’s ratio of 15.31x is above its peer average of 9.71x, which suggests the stock is trading at a higher price compared to the Auto Components industry. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that HELLA GmbH KGaA’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
What does the future of HELLA GmbH KGaA look like?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of HELLA GmbH KGaA, it is expected to deliver a highly negative earnings growth in the next few years, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? If you believe HLE is currently trading above its peers, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. Given the risk from a negative growth outlook, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on HLE for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. Its price has risen beyond its industry peers, on top of a negative future outlook. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management. Should the price fall in the future, will you be well-informed enough to buy?
If you want to dive deeper into HELLA GmbH KGaA, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for HELLA GmbH KGaA you should be mindful of and 1 of these doesn't sit too well with us.
If you are no longer interested in HELLA GmbH KGaA, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:HLE
HELLA GmbH KGaA
Develops, manufactures, and sells lighting systems and electronic components for automotive industry worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet with questionable track record.