HELLA GmbH KGaA Valuation

Is HLE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HLE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HLE (€83.1) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€76.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HLE is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HLE?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

HLE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.8x
PEG Ratio1.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HLE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HLE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.5x
CON Continental
11x18.8%€12.7b
SHA Schaeffler
13.3x30.2%€4.1b
SFQ SAF-Holland
10.9x9.8%€872.5m
ZIL2 ElringKlinger
10.8x22.1%€425.1m
HLE HELLA GmbH KGaA
35x22.4%€9.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HLE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35x) compared to the peer average (11.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HLE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a26.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a26.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HLE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (12.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HLE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HLE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35x
Fair PE Ratio12.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HLE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HLE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€83.10
€73.00
-12.2%
4.9%€78.00€70.00n/a3
Apr ’25€85.20
€75.50
-11.4%
6.0%€80.00€71.00n/a2
Mar ’25€81.50
€69.75
-14.4%
1.8%€71.00€68.50n/a2
Feb ’25€82.00
€69.75
-14.9%
1.8%€71.00€68.50n/a2
Jan ’25€82.50
€69.75
-15.5%
1.8%€71.00€68.50n/a2
Dec ’24€80.00
€69.75
-12.8%
1.8%€71.00€68.50n/a2
Nov ’24€72.30
€74.50
+3.0%
4.7%€78.00€71.00n/a2
Oct ’24€67.00
€73.00
+9.0%
4.9%€78.00€70.00n/a3
Sep ’24€65.80
€73.00
+10.9%
4.9%€78.00€70.00n/a3
Aug ’24€72.10
€73.00
+1.2%
4.9%€78.00€70.00n/a3
Jul ’24€72.10
€73.00
+1.2%
4.9%€78.00€70.00n/a3
Jun ’24€72.10
€73.00
+1.2%
4.9%€78.00€70.00n/a3
May ’24€76.70
€73.00
-4.8%
4.9%€78.00€70.00n/a3
Apr ’24€80.15
€71.50
-10.8%
5.6%€78.00€67.00€85.204
Mar ’24€80.85
€68.75
-15.0%
9.4%€78.00€60.00€81.504
Feb ’24€76.95
€64.25
-16.5%
6.8%€70.00€60.00€82.004
Jan ’24€76.05
€64.25
-15.5%
6.8%€70.00€60.00€82.504
Dec ’23€80.90
€65.40
-19.2%
6.9%€70.00€60.00€80.005
Nov ’23€79.90
€65.40
-18.1%
6.9%€70.00€60.00€72.305
Oct ’23€68.10
€64.50
-5.3%
7.1%€70.00€60.00€67.006
Sep ’23€70.45
€64.50
-8.4%
7.1%€70.00€60.00€65.806
Aug ’23€69.20
€63.33
-8.5%
7.4%€70.00€60.00€72.106
Jul ’23€64.60
€62.86
-2.7%
7.2%€70.00€60.00€72.107
Jun ’23€67.55
€61.22
-9.4%
5.1%€70.00€60.00€72.109
May ’23€60.05
€61.22
+1.9%
5.1%€70.00€60.00€76.709
Apr ’23€58.20
€61.22
+5.2%
5.1%€70.00€60.00€80.159

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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