Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:BMW) Annual Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year
Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:BMW) just released its latest yearly report and things are not looking great. Results look to have been somewhat negative - revenue fell 3.5% short of analyst estimates at €142b, and statutory earnings of €11.62 per share missed forecasts by 3.6%. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.
Check out our latest analysis for Bayerische Motoren Werke
Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Bayerische Motoren Werke's 19 analysts is for revenues of €150.2b in 2025. This reflects a reasonable 5.5% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of €150.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of €12.94 in 2025. So we can see that while the consensus made no real change to its revenue estimates, it also no longer provides an earnings per share estimate. This suggests that revenues are what the market is focusing on after the latest results.
We'd also point out that thatthe analysts have made no major changes to their price target of €88.70. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Bayerische Motoren Werke at €120 per share, while the most bearish prices it at €64.00. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that Bayerische Motoren Werke's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 5.5% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 10% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 2.7% annually. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Bayerische Motoren Werke is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts reconfirmed their revenue estimates for next year, suggesting that the business is performing in line with expectations. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
At least one of Bayerische Motoren Werke's 19 analysts has provided estimates out to 2027, which can be seen for free on our platform here.
Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Bayerische Motoren Werke (1 is significant) you should be aware of.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:BMW
Bayerische Motoren Werke
Engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of automobiles and motorcycles, and spare parts and accessories worldwide.
Good value with adequate balance sheet and pays a dividend.
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