Stock Analysis

Does CEZ a. s (SEP:CEZ) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SEP:CEZ
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that CEZ, a. s. (SEP:CEZ) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for CEZ a. s

What Is CEZ a. s's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2022 CEZ a. s had debt of Kč205.9b, up from Kč141.2b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of Kč81.6b, its net debt is less, at about Kč124.3b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEP:CEZ Debt to Equity History December 21st 2022

A Look At CEZ a. s' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that CEZ a. s had liabilities of Kč1.20t falling due within a year, and liabilities of Kč364.9b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of Kč81.6b and Kč221.2b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total Kč1.26t more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the Kč404.2b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, CEZ a. s would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

CEZ a. s's net debt is only 1.2 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 25.1 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Even more impressive was the fact that CEZ a. s grew its EBIT by 111% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CEZ a. s's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, CEZ a. s's free cash flow amounted to 34% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

We feel some trepidation about CEZ a. s's difficulty level of total liabilities, but we've got positives to focus on, too. For example, its interest cover and EBIT growth rate give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. It's also worth noting that CEZ a. s is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that CEZ a. s is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for CEZ a. s you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.