Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies A. Tsokkos Hotels Public Limited (CSE:TSH) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for A. Tsokkos Hotels
What Is A. Tsokkos Hotels's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that A. Tsokkos Hotels had €205.9m in debt in June 2022; about the same as the year before. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.
How Strong Is A. Tsokkos Hotels' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, A. Tsokkos Hotels had liabilities of €51.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €243.6m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of €3.31m and €7.55m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total €284.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the €19.2m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, A. Tsokkos Hotels would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is A. Tsokkos Hotels's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, A. Tsokkos Hotels reported revenue of €38m, which is a gain of 214%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That's virtually the hole-in-one of revenue growth!
Caveat Emptor
While we can certainly appreciate A. Tsokkos Hotels's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost a very considerable €2.1m at the EBIT level. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Sure, the company might have a nice story about how they are going on to a brighter future. But the fact is that it incinerated €2.1m of cash in the last twelve months, and has precious few liquid assets in comparison to its liabilities. So we consider this a high risk stock, and we're worried its share price could sink faster than than a dingy with a great white shark attacking it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for A. Tsokkos Hotels (3 don't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About CSE:TSH
A. Tsokkos Hotels
Engages in the operation of a chain of hotels and hotel apartments in Cyprus.
Good value slight.