Stock Analysis

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Xinjiang Torch Gas Co., Ltd (SHSE:603080)?

SHSE:603080
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Xinjiang Torch Gas (SHSE:603080) has had a rough three months with its share price down 21%. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Xinjiang Torch Gas' ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

Check out our latest analysis for Xinjiang Torch Gas

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Xinjiang Torch Gas is:

8.4% = CN¥129m ÷ CN¥1.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.08 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Xinjiang Torch Gas' Earnings Growth And 8.4% ROE

At first glance, Xinjiang Torch Gas' ROE doesn't look very promising. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 9.6%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. On the other hand, Xinjiang Torch Gas reported a moderate 5.6% net income growth over the past five years. Taking into consideration that the ROE is not particularly high, we reckon that there could also be other factors at play which could be influencing the company's growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

We then performed a comparison between Xinjiang Torch Gas' net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 6.8% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603080 Past Earnings Growth April 17th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Xinjiang Torch Gas fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Xinjiang Torch Gas Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

With a three-year median payout ratio of 32% (implying that the company retains 68% of its profits), it seems that Xinjiang Torch Gas is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.

Moreover, Xinjiang Torch Gas is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of six years of paying a dividend.

Summary

Overall, we feel that Xinjiang Torch Gas certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Despite its low rate of return, the fact that the company reinvests a very high portion of its profits into its business, no doubt contributed to its high earnings growth. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. Our risks dashboard will have the 1 risk we have identified for Xinjiang Torch Gas.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Xinjiang Torch Gas is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.