Stock Analysis

The Market Lifts Hichain Logistics Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300873) Shares 26% But It Can Do More

SZSE:300873
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Hichain Logistics Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300873) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 5.5% over the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, Hichain LogisticsLtd may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.4x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 30x and even P/E's higher than 58x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Hichain LogisticsLtd has been very sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Hichain LogisticsLtd

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300873 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 30th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Hichain LogisticsLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

Hichain LogisticsLtd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 20%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 13% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 47% over the next year. With the market only predicted to deliver 36%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Hichain LogisticsLtd's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From Hichain LogisticsLtd's P/E?

Hichain LogisticsLtd's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Hichain LogisticsLtd currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Hichain LogisticsLtd that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hichain LogisticsLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.