Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Shanghai Shine-Link International Logistics Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603648) 28% Share Price Plunge

SHSE:603648
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Shanghai Shine-Link International Logistics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603648) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 28% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 2.9% in the last year.

Even after such a large drop in price, Shanghai Shine-Link International Logistics' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.4x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 30x and even P/E's above 53x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

The earnings growth achieved at Shanghai Shine-Link International Logistics over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Shanghai Shine-Link International Logistics

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603648 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 27th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shanghai Shine-Link International Logistics, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Growth For Shanghai Shine-Link International Logistics?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Shanghai Shine-Link International Logistics' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 14% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 46% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 41% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's understandable that Shanghai Shine-Link International Logistics' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

The Final Word

Shanghai Shine-Link International Logistics' P/E has taken a tumble along with its share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Shanghai Shine-Link International Logistics maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shanghai Shine-Link International Logistics (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Shanghai Shine-Link International Logistics' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Shanghai Shine-Link International Logistics is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.