Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That CTS International Logistics (SHSE:603128) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

SHSE:603128
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies CTS International Logistics Corporation Limited (SHSE:603128) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for CTS International Logistics

What Is CTS International Logistics's Debt?

As you can see below, CTS International Logistics had CN¥574.4m of debt at September 2023, down from CN¥1.29b a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.74b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.16b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603128 Debt to Equity History February 27th 2024

How Healthy Is CTS International Logistics' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that CTS International Logistics had liabilities of CN¥2.71b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥327.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.74b and CN¥4.06b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥2.76b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that CTS International Logistics is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that CTS International Logistics has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for CTS International Logistics if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 29% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CTS International Logistics's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While CTS International Logistics has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, CTS International Logistics recorded free cash flow worth 62% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case CTS International Logistics has CN¥1.16b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we don't have any problem with CTS International Logistics's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that CTS International Logistics is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.