Stock Analysis

Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600368) Share Price Boosted 30% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

SHSE:600368
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Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600368) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 55%.

Although its price has surged higher, Guangxi Wuzhou Communications' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.6x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 37x and even P/E's above 74x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For example, consider that Guangxi Wuzhou Communications' financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Guangxi Wuzhou Communications

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600368 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 17th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Guangxi Wuzhou Communications will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Guangxi Wuzhou Communications' Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Guangxi Wuzhou Communications' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 8.5%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 38% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's understandable that Guangxi Wuzhou Communications' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

The Final Word

Shares in Guangxi Wuzhou Communications are going to need a lot more upward momentum to get the company's P/E out of its slump. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Guangxi Wuzhou Communications revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Guangxi Wuzhou Communications you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.