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Hangzhou CNCR-IT Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300250) 26% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk
Hangzhou CNCR-IT Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300250) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 23% share price drop.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd may still be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 9.1x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Communications industry in China have P/S ratios under 4.9x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
View our latest analysis for Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd
What Does Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.9%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 37% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 36% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd's P/S
Even after such a strong price drop, Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300250
Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd
Provides digital and intelligent industrial solutions and operations services for government and enterprise markets in China and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet minimal.