Stock Analysis

Jiangsu Transimage Technology (SZSE:002866) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

SZSE:002866
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Jiangsu Transimage Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002866) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Jiangsu Transimage Technology

What Is Jiangsu Transimage Technology's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Jiangsu Transimage Technology had CN¥1.06b of debt, an increase on CN¥990.3m, over one year. However, it does have CN¥778.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥282.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002866 Debt to Equity History June 7th 2024

How Strong Is Jiangsu Transimage Technology's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jiangsu Transimage Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.84b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥232.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥778.8m and CN¥558.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥738.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Jiangsu Transimage Technology shares are worth a total of CN¥3.74b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Jiangsu Transimage Technology has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 2.4, its interest cover seems weak, at 0.47. In large part that's it has so much depreciation and amortisation. These charges may be non-cash, so they could be excluded when it comes to paying down debt. But the accounting charges are there for a reason -- some assets are seen to be losing value. Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. Importantly, Jiangsu Transimage Technology's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 95% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Jiangsu Transimage Technology's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Jiangsu Transimage Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Jiangsu Transimage Technology's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. Having said that, its ability to handle its total liabilities isn't such a worry. Overall, it seems to us that Jiangsu Transimage Technology's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Jiangsu Transimage Technology (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.