Stock Analysis

Is Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002845) Using Too Much Debt?

SZSE:002845
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Shenzhen TXD Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002845) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

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Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

What Is Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd had CN¥1.45b of debt, up from CN¥1.05b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥985.4m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥462.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002845 Debt to Equity History March 24th 2025

How Strong Is Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥5.87b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥747.9m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥985.4m and CN¥3.25b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥2.38b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥5.08b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Even though Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd's debt is only 2.0, its interest cover is really very low at 0.27. In large part that's it has so much depreciation and amortisation. These charges may be non-cash, so they could be excluded when it comes to paying down debt. But the accounting charges are there for a reason -- some assets are seen to be losing value. Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. We also note that Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive CN¥12m. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd's interest cover was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.