Stock Analysis

Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies Ltd.'s (SZSE:002808) 25% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

SZSE:002808
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies Ltd. (SZSE:002808) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 81% loss during that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.5x, you may still consider Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies as a stock probably not worth researching with its 4.7x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002808 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 18th 2024

How Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 20%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 60% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 23% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies' P/S Mean For Investors?

There's still some elevation in Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies' P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.