Stock Analysis

Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Hytera Communications Corporation Limited (SZSE:002583) Shares Dive 32%

SZSE:002583
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The Hytera Communications Corporation Limited (SZSE:002583) share price has softened a substantial 32% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Of course, over the longer-term many would still wish they owned shares as the stock's price has soared 155% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Hytera Communications' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Communications industry is similar at about 5.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Hytera Communications

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002583 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 29th 2024

How Has Hytera Communications Performed Recently?

Hytera Communications could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Hytera Communications.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Hytera Communications' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 12%. The latest three year period has also seen a 17% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 15% during the coming year according to the one analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 38%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Hytera Communications is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does Hytera Communications' P/S Mean For Investors?

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Hytera Communications looks to be in line with the rest of the Communications industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of Hytera Communications' revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Hytera Communications you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hytera Communications might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.