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What Shenzhen Rapoo Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002577) P/S Is Not Telling You
When close to half the companies in the Tech industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.2x, you may consider Shenzhen Rapoo Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002577) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 8.9x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen Rapoo Technology
What Does Shenzhen Rapoo Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shenzhen Rapoo Technology over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen Rapoo Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Shenzhen Rapoo Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.3% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 12% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 24% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Shenzhen Rapoo Technology's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Shenzhen Rapoo Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Rapoo Technology you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002577
Shenzhen Rapoo Technology
Researches, develops, designs, manufactures, and sells wired and wireless peripheral products worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.