Stock Analysis

Is Shenzhen Infinova (SZSE:002528) Using Too Much Debt?

SZSE:002528
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Shenzhen Infinova Limited (SZSE:002528) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen Infinova

How Much Debt Does Shenzhen Infinova Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Shenzhen Infinova had CN¥896.6m of debt in September 2023, down from CN¥1.59b, one year before. However, it also had CN¥279.1m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥617.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002528 Debt to Equity History February 27th 2024

A Look At Shenzhen Infinova's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Shenzhen Infinova had liabilities of CN¥1.95b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥474.9m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥279.1m in cash and CN¥1.56b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥587.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Shenzhen Infinova shares are worth a total of CN¥8.50b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Shenzhen Infinova's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Shenzhen Infinova made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥1.5b, which is a fall of 26%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Shenzhen Infinova's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥800m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥1.2b. So to be blunt we do think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Infinova you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Shenzhen Infinova is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.