Stock Analysis

Is Guangzhou Haige Communications Group Incorporated Company's (SZSE:002465) Recent Performance Underpinned By Weak Financials?

SZSE:002465
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Guangzhou Haige Communications Group's (SZSE:002465) recent performance, when its stock has declined 12% over the past three months. To decide if this trend could continue, we decided to look at its weak fundamentals as they shape the long-term market trends. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Guangzhou Haige Communications Group's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Guangzhou Haige Communications Group

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangzhou Haige Communications Group is:

4.4% = CN¥581m ÷ CN¥13b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.04 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Guangzhou Haige Communications Group's Earnings Growth And 4.4% ROE

It is hard to argue that Guangzhou Haige Communications Group's ROE is much good in and of itself. Further, we noted that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 5.3%. Therefore, the low net income growth of 4.5% seen by Guangzhou Haige Communications Group over the past five years could probably be the result of it having a lower ROE.

As a next step, we compared Guangzhou Haige Communications Group's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 10% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002465 Past Earnings Growth March 3rd 2025

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Guangzhou Haige Communications Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Guangzhou Haige Communications Group Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 52% (that is, the company retains only 48% of its income) over the past three years for Guangzhou Haige Communications Group suggests that the company's earnings growth was lower as a result of paying out a majority of its earnings.

Additionally, Guangzhou Haige Communications Group has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

Conclusion

On the whole, Guangzhou Haige Communications Group's performance is quite a big let-down. The company has seen a lack of earnings growth as a result of retaining very little profits and whatever little it does retain, is being reinvested at a very low rate of return. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SZSE:002465

Guangzhou Haige Communications Group

Engages in the wireless communications, Beidou navigation, Aerospace, and Digital intelligence ecology businesses in China.

High growth potential with adequate balance sheet.