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Hunan Aihua Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:603989) Stock Rockets 26% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company
Hunan Aihua Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:603989) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 29% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, Hunan Aihua Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 23.2x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 30x and even P/E's above 58x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Hunan Aihua Group has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Hunan Aihua Group
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In order to justify its P/E ratio, Hunan Aihua Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 35% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 41% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 125% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 36% growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Hunan Aihua Group's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On Hunan Aihua Group's P/E
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Hunan Aihua Group's P/E close to the market median. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Hunan Aihua Group currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Hunan Aihua Group that you should be aware of.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603989
Hunan Aihua Group
Engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of aluminum electrolytic capacitors in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.