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Improved Revenues Required Before Suzhou Keda Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603660) Stock's 31% Jump Looks Justified
Despite an already strong run, Suzhou Keda Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603660) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 31% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 36%.
Although its price has surged higher, Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.2x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Communications industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 5.4x and even P/S above 9x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd
What Does Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. Those who are bullish on Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.6%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 43% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 38% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's understandable that Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Final Word
Despite Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
It's no surprise that Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603660
Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd
Provides video surveillance and conference products, and video application solutions to public and corporate customers in China.
Slightly overvalued with imperfect balance sheet.