Stock Analysis
Why We're Not Concerned Yet About Beijing Huaru Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301302) 26% Share Price Plunge
Beijing Huaru Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301302) shares have retraced a considerable 26% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 8.1% over that longer period.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, Beijing Huaru Technology may still be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 16.7x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Software industry in China have P/S ratios under 6.1x and even P/S lower than 3x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
See our latest analysis for Beijing Huaru Technology
What Does Beijing Huaru Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Beijing Huaru Technology's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the market is expecting the poor revenue to reverse, justifying it's current high P/S.. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Beijing Huaru Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Beijing Huaru Technology's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 74%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 61% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 296% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 30%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Beijing Huaru Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Final Word
Even after such a strong price drop, Beijing Huaru Technology's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Beijing Huaru Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Beijing Huaru Technology, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Beijing Huaru Technology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:301302
Beijing Huaru Technology
Researches, develops, produces, and sales of simulation technology products in China.