Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Troy Information Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300366) 29% Share Price Plunge
Troy Information Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300366) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 29% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 35% share price drop.
Since its price has dipped substantially, Troy Information Technology may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x, since almost half of all companies in the IT industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 3x and even P/S higher than 6x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
See our latest analysis for Troy Information Technology
How Has Troy Information Technology Performed Recently?
Recent times have been advantageous for Troy Information Technology as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.
Keen to find out how analysts think Troy Information Technology's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Troy Information Technology's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 35% gain to the company's top line. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 31% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 42%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why Troy Information Technology is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What Does Troy Information Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?
Troy Information Technology's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Troy Information Technology maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Troy Information Technology has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Troy Information Technology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300366
Troy Information Technology
Operates as an digital transformation service provider in China.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.