Stock Analysis

Shenzhen Sea Star Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002137) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

SZSE:002137
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It's not a stretch to say that Shenzhen Sea Star Technology Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002137) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Software industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 4.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for Shenzhen Sea Star TechnologyLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002137 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 6th 2024

What Does Shenzhen Sea Star TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Shenzhen Sea Star TechnologyLtd has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. Perhaps the expectation moving forward is that the revenue growth will track in line with the wider industry for the near term, which has kept the P/S subdued. Those who are bullish on Shenzhen Sea Star TechnologyLtd will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen Sea Star TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Shenzhen Sea Star TechnologyLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 5.8% gain to the company's revenues. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 22% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 30% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Sea Star TechnologyLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does Shenzhen Sea Star TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

The fact that Shenzhen Sea Star TechnologyLtd currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Sea Star TechnologyLtd you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shenzhen Sea Star TechnologyLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Shenzhen Sea Star TechnologyLtd is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.