Stock Analysis

Should Weakness in Guomai Technologies, Inc.'s (SZSE:002093) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

SZSE:002093
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Guomai Technologies (SZSE:002093) has had a rough week with its share price down 8.9%. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. In this article, we decided to focus on Guomai Technologies' ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

View our latest analysis for Guomai Technologies

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guomai Technologies is:

4.6% = CN¥167m ÷ CN¥3.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.05.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Guomai Technologies' Earnings Growth And 4.6% ROE

It is quite clear that Guomai Technologies' ROE is rather low. Further, we noted that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 4.6%. As a result, Guomai Technologies' decent 8.1% net income growth seen over the past five years bodes well with us. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play that are influencing the company's growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

As a next step, we compared Guomai Technologies' net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 2.5%.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002093 Past Earnings Growth February 28th 2025

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Guomai Technologies is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Guomai Technologies Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Guomai Technologies' three-year median payout ratio to shareholders is 13% (implying that it retains 87% of its income), which is on the lower side, so it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business.

Besides, Guomai Technologies has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Existing analyst estimates suggest that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 10.0% over the next three years. The fact that the company's ROE is expected to rise to 6.7% over the same period is explained by the drop in the payout ratio.

Conclusion

On the whole, we do feel that Guomai Technologies has some positive attributes. Despite its low rate of return, the fact that the company reinvests a very high portion of its profits into its business, no doubt contributed to its high earnings growth. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SZSE:002093

Guomai Technologies

Provides internet of things technology services, internet of things consulting and design services, internet of things science park operation and development services, and education services in China.

Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.