Stock Analysis

Here's Why DHC SoftwareLtd (SZSE:002065) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

SZSE:002065
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that DHC Software Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002065) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for DHC SoftwareLtd

What Is DHC SoftwareLtd's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, DHC SoftwareLtd had CN¥4.60b of debt, up from CN¥3.64b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥911.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥3.69b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002065 Debt to Equity History August 23rd 2024

How Healthy Is DHC SoftwareLtd's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, DHC SoftwareLtd had liabilities of CN¥10.9b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥163.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥911.0m as well as receivables valued at CN¥8.02b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥2.09b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, DHC SoftwareLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥13.7b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.1, it's fair to say DHC SoftwareLtd does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 6.0 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. The bad news is that DHC SoftwareLtd saw its EBIT decline by 17% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate then handling the debt will be more difficult than taking three children under 5 to a fancy pants restaurant. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since DHC SoftwareLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, DHC SoftwareLtd recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

To be frank both DHC SoftwareLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of managing its debt, based on its EBITDA, make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to handle its total liabilities isn't such a worry. Overall, we think it's fair to say that DHC SoftwareLtd has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for DHC SoftwareLtd (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.