Stock Analysis

Revenues Not Telling The Story For Shanghai Wondertek Software Co., Ltd (SHSE:603189) After Shares Rise 29%

Shanghai Wondertek Software Co., Ltd (SHSE:603189) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 29% share price jump in the last month. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 2.1% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, Shanghai Wondertek Software's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 11.2x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the Software industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 4.1x and even P/S below 2x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for Shanghai Wondertek Software

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603189 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 10th 2024
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What Does Shanghai Wondertek Software's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Revenue has risen firmly for Shanghai Wondertek Software recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shanghai Wondertek Software's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Shanghai Wondertek Software's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 12%. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 5.6% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that Shanghai Wondertek Software's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Shanghai Wondertek Software's P/S Mean For Investors?

The strong share price surge has lead to Shanghai Wondertek Software's P/S soaring as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Shanghai Wondertek Software revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shanghai Wondertek Software (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SHSE:603189

Shanghai Wondertek Software

Provides software products and solutions for video intelligence field in China.

Flawless balance sheet with slight risk.

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