Stock Analysis

Suzhou Maxwell Technologies (SZSE:300751) Is Posting Solid Earnings, But It Is Not All Good News

SZSE:300751
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Shareholders were pleased with the recent earnings report from Suzhou Maxwell Technologies Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300751). Despite this, we feel that there are some reasons to be cautious with these earnings.

See our latest analysis for Suzhou Maxwell Technologies

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:300751 Earnings and Revenue History May 1st 2024

Zooming In On Suzhou Maxwell Technologies' Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to March 2024, Suzhou Maxwell Technologies had an accrual ratio of 0.53. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥953.2m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥996m in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥207m a year ago though, so Suzhou Maxwell Technologies has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥61m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Suzhou Maxwell Technologies doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

Our Take On Suzhou Maxwell Technologies' Profit Performance

Summing up, Suzhou Maxwell Technologies received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue Suzhou Maxwell Technologies' profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, Suzhou Maxwell Technologies has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Suzhou Maxwell Technologies is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.