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Investors Don't See Light At End Of Risen Energy Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300118) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 27%
Risen Energy Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300118) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 32% in that time.
Since its price has dipped substantially, Risen EnergyLtd may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x, since almost half of all companies in the Semiconductor industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 6.8x and even P/S higher than 12x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Risen EnergyLtd
What Does Risen EnergyLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, Risen EnergyLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Risen EnergyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Risen EnergyLtd?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Risen EnergyLtd would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 39%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 22% in total. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 52% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this information, we can see why Risen EnergyLtd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.
The Final Word
Having almost fallen off a cliff, Risen EnergyLtd's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Risen EnergyLtd revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Risen EnergyLtd (at least 3 which are a bit concerning), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300118
Risen EnergyLtd
Designs, develops, manufactures, and sells solar modules in China.
Slight and slightly overvalued.