Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Shanghai Shenda Co., Ltd (SHSE:600626) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Shanghai Shenda
How Much Debt Does Shanghai Shenda Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shanghai Shenda had debt of CN¥2.90b at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥3.31b over a year. However, it does have CN¥1.37b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥1.53b.
How Strong Is Shanghai Shenda's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shanghai Shenda had liabilities of CN¥4.76b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.87b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.37b and CN¥2.16b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥3.10b.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥3.76b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shanghai Shenda will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, Shanghai Shenda reported revenue of CN¥12b, which is a gain of 4.3%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, Shanghai Shenda had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥53m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥125m of cash over the last year. So to be blunt we think it is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Shanghai Shenda (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600626
Shanghai Shenda
Engages in the import and export trading of textile products in China.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.