Stock Analysis

Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Guangdong Highsun Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:000861) Shares

SZSE:000861
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When you see that almost half of the companies in the Real Estate industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.7x, Guangdong Highsun Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000861) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000861 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 30th 2024

How Has Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd Performed Recently?

For instance, Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 8.0% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 27% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 5.0% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd's P/S?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd has 3 warning signs (and 2 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.