Stock Analysis

We Think China Union Holdings (SZSE:000036) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

SZSE:000036
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies China Union Holdings Ltd. (SZSE:000036) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for China Union Holdings

How Much Debt Does China Union Holdings Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that China Union Holdings had CN¥586.6m of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥632.8m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥2.24b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.65b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000036 Debt to Equity History January 6th 2025

How Strong Is China Union Holdings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that China Union Holdings had liabilities of CN¥1.17b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥576.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.24b and CN¥24.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥522.6m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This short term liquidity is a sign that China Union Holdings could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, China Union Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for China Union Holdings if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 90% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine China Union Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While China Union Holdings has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, China Union Holdings recorded free cash flow worth 74% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case China Union Holdings has CN¥1.65b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of -CN¥296m, being 74% of its EBIT. So we don't have any problem with China Union Holdings's use of debt. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of China Union Holdings's earnings per share history for free.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.