Stock Analysis
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- SHSE:600663
Subdued Growth No Barrier To Shanghai Lujiazui Finance & Trade Zone Development Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600663) Price
When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 34x, you may consider Shanghai Lujiazui Finance & Trade Zone Development Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600663) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 41.8x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Recent times have been pleasing for Shanghai Lujiazui Finance & Trade Zone DevelopmentLtd as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Shanghai Lujiazui Finance & Trade Zone DevelopmentLtd
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai Lujiazui Finance & Trade Zone DevelopmentLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.How Is Shanghai Lujiazui Finance & Trade Zone DevelopmentLtd's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Shanghai Lujiazui Finance & Trade Zone DevelopmentLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 18% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 80% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 22% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 38%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shanghai Lujiazui Finance & Trade Zone DevelopmentLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Shanghai Lujiazui Finance & Trade Zone DevelopmentLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Shanghai Lujiazui Finance & Trade Zone DevelopmentLtd you should be aware of, and 2 of them are concerning.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600663
Shanghai Lujiazui Finance & Trade Zone DevelopmentLtd
Shanghai Lujiazui Finance & Trade Zone Development Co.,Ltd.