Stock Analysis
Are Hubei Goto Biopharm Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300966) Mixed Financials The Reason For Its Gloomy Performance on The Stock Market?
It is hard to get excited after looking at Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd's (SZSE:300966) recent performance, when its stock has declined 30% over the past three months. It is possible that the markets have ignored the company's differing financials and decided to lean-in to the negative sentiment. Stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financial performance over the long term, and therefore we decided to pay more attention to the company's financial performance. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd's ROE today.
Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
View our latest analysis for Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
ROE can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd is:
2.0% = CN¥21m ÷ CN¥1.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.02 in profit.
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.
Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd's Earnings Growth And 2.0% ROE
It is hard to argue that Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 5.9%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 28% seen by Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd over the last five years is not surprising. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.
However, when we compared Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 9.9% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.
Is Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
When we piece together Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd's low three-year median payout ratio of 19% (where it is retaining 81% of its profits), calculated for the last three-year period, we are puzzled by the lack of growth. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.
Only recently, Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd stated paying a dividend. This likely means that the management might have concluded that its shareholders have a strong preference for dividends.
Conclusion
Overall, we have mixed feelings about Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 2 risks we have identified for Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd visit our risks dashboard for free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300966
Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd
Engages in the research, development, production, and sale of steroid drug raw materials and intermediates in China and internationally.