Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical Company Limited (SZSE:300878) With Shares Advancing 39%

SZSE:300878
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The Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical Company Limited (SZSE:300878) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 39%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 16% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in China's Pharmaceuticals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.5x, you may consider Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300878 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 9th 2024

What Does Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 9.6%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 23% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 141% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical's P/S

Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.