Subdued Growth No Barrier To Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical Company Limited (SZSE:300878) With Shares Advancing 29%
Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical Company Limited (SZSE:300878) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 29% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 27% over that time.
After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Pharmaceuticals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.2x, you may consider Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical as a stock not worth researching with its 5.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical
What Does Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For example, consider that Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical?
Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 19%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 26% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What Does Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical's P/S Mean For Investors?
Shares in Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300878
Zhejiang Wecome Pharmaceutical
Engages in the research and development, production, and sale of modern traditional Chinese and western medicine in China.
Adequate balance sheet low.